ANEMOS: Development of a Next Generation Wind Resource Forecasting System for the Large-Scale Integration of Onshore and Offshore Wind Farms

The aim of the project is to develop accurate models that outperform considerably actual state-of-the art, for onshore and off-shore wind resource forecasting (statistical and physical). Emphasis is given on integrating high resolution weather predictions. For the offshore case,marine meteorology will be considered as well as information by satellite-radar images. An integrated software, ANEMOS, will be developed to host the various models. This system will be installed for on-line operation at onshore and offshore wind farms by several utilities for local/regional/national wind prediction. The applications are characterised by different terrains, on-/near-/off-shore farms, climatic conditions, interconnected or island grids. The on-line operation by the utilities will permit to validate the models and to analyse how predictions can contribute to a competitive integration of wind energy in the developing liberalised electricity market.

The main tasks will be:

• Development of advanced statistical methods for wind power forecasting
• Development of a method to estimate on-line the uncertainties of the predictions for real time operation
• Statistical downscaling
• Development of methods based on physical modelling emphasis to complex terrain
• Development of wind power prediction tools specific to Off-shore domain
• High resolution meteorological information
• Upscaling
• Longer term prediction(up to 7 days)
• Benchmarking of wind power forecasting models & development of error measures
• Development of an advanced software with enhanced information and communication capabilities

ANEMOS Project Homepage

Consortium

• Association pour la Recherche et le Développement des Méthodes et Processus Industriels, ARMINES, France
• ARIA Technologies, France
• Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, UC3M, Spain
• Centro de Investigaciones Energeticas, Medioambientales y Technologias, CIEMAT, Spain
• Technical University of Denmark, Informatics and Mathematical Modelling, DTU/IMM, Denmark
• Meteo France, France
• OVERSPEED GmbH & Co. KG, Germany
• Council of the Central Laboratory of the Research Councils - Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL, UK
• Risø National Laboratory, Denmark
• Institute of Accelerating Systems and Applications, University of Athens, IASA, Greece
• Electricité de France, EdF, France
• Energia Hidroeléctrica de Navarra, S.A EHN, Spain
• ELSAM A/S, Denmark
• National Grid, Electricity Supply Board, ESB, Ireland
• EWE AG, Germany
• Public Power Corporation, S.A. PPC, Greece
• Red Eléctrica de España, REE, Spain
• IDAE Spain
• Institute of Communication & Computer Systems - National Technical University of Athens, ICCS/NTUA, Greece

Contact

Jens Tambke
Energy and Semiconductor Research Laboratory
Institute of Physics - University of Oldenburg
D-26111 Oldenburg, Germany
Tel: +49 441 - 798 3007
Fax: +49 441 - 798 3579
e-mail: jens.tambke@mail.uni-oldenburg.de